With our first case of swine flu infection in on May 18 in a 10-year-old girl and a report today on a confirmed 30-year-old infected woman who traveled in the Philippines for five days, and DOH unable to detect her infection, this lapse is a cause for serious concern as it raises the question--how many of these people came in and out of the country with their infections remain undetected. Worse, her three accompanying relatives has been confirmed by Taiwan's Center for Disease Control (CDC) as H1N1 virus-infected.
Shih Wen-yi, CDC spokesperson, confirmed that the woman felt sick in Manila, and has consulted a doctor when she developed fever.
Starting today, Breakthroughs Today will start keeping tabs on H1N1 virus infection in the country for your reference.
As of Date Infection Cases Deaths Source
22May2009 1 0
23May2009 1 0 Philstar.com
24May2009 2 0 Associated Press
27May2009 6 o SunStar-Cebu
28May2009 10 0 SunStar-Cebu
29May2009 14 0 SunStar-Cebu
03Jun2009 22 0 SunStar-Cebu
06Jun2009 29 0 SunStar-Cebu
07Jun2009 33 0 SunStar-Cebu
09Jun2009 54 0 Associated Press
12Jun2009 92 0 Associated Press
16Jun2009 247 0 DOH Update 42
22Jun2009 446 1 SunStar-Cebu
24Jun2009 604 1 DOH Update 50
Below are worldwide reports of deaths and infections based on the figures published by the World Health Organization:
Update Date Countries Affected Infection Cases Deaths New Cases (Deaths)
33 19May2009 40 9,830 79
35 21May2009 41 11,034 85 791 (5)
36 22May2009 42 11,168 86 134 (1)
37 23May2009 43 12,022 86 854 (0)
38 25May2009 46 12,515 91 493 (5)
40 27May2009 48 13,398 95 444 (3)
41 29May2009 53 15,510 99 2,112 (4)
43 03Jun2009 66 19,273 117 1,863 (2)
44 05Jun2009 69 21,940 125 2,667 (8)
45 08Jun2009 73 25,288 139 3,348 (14)
48 12Jun2009 74 29,669 145 895 (1)
49 15Jun2009 76 35,928 163 6,259 (18)
53 24Jun2009 102 55,867 238 3,707 (7)
Observations
So far, in just a matter of less than a week (four days exactly), reported cases worldwide went up by 22.3 percent or new 2,192 confirmed cases. Death also increased 8.86 percent or seven cases. Three more countries are reported affected such as Greece, the Philippines, and Russia. Philippines got listed on May 22 when it reported its first case of infection.
As of May 25, exactly seven days hence, reported cases worldwide went up by 27.3 percent, 5 percent higher than the incidents noted two days ago. Deaths almost doubled at 15.19 percent, up 8.7 percent in two days. Three more countries got involved: Honduras, Iceland, and Kuwait. Meanwhile, Philippines confirmed its second swine flu case. The infection appeared to have spread faster or reporting simply came in much later to underestimate the already widespread infection.
As of May 27, barely nine days hence, reported cases worldwide went up by 36.3 percent, 14 percent higher than those noted four days ago. Deaths increased by 16 cases or 20.25 percent. If this is not an alarming trend, then what is alarming then. Two more countries got penetrated by the virus: Bahrain and Singapore. These results has not updated yet the 10 new confirmed cases in the Philippines reported on May 28.
As of May 29, confirmed H1N1 cases in the Philippines rose to 14 only in a matter of seven days, or 13000% increase. Around the world, infections went up 57.78 percent to 15,510 in only 10 days. Deaths increased by 20, or 25.32 percent. Five new countries were added to the list of those compromised--Czech Republic, Dominican Republic, Romania, Slovakia, and Uruguay.
As of June 3, 12 days from the start of this monitor, reported cases worldwide almost doubled (96.06%). Deaths went up 48.1 percent or 38 people. Thirteen (13) more countries got A(H1N1) infections--Bahamas, Bolivia, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Egypt, Estonia, Hungary, Jamaica, Kuwait, Nicaragua, Paraguay, Venezuela, and Viet Nam. This means that of the 195 countries around the world, the swine flu virus has infected already 33.85 percent of the globe. Based on the current WHO pandemic alert levels, swine flu infection may have already reached the Pandemic level Phase 3. Community outbreak is obviously happening in more than two countries--Australia (501 cases), Canada (1,530 cases), Chile (313 cases), Japan (385 cases), Mexico (5,029 cases), United Kingdom (339 cases), and of course the United States (10,053 cases).
Philippine confirmed cases went up to 22, an increase of 2,100 percent. Although the rate of increase in the confirmed cases of A(H1N1) infection is very high (almost double per day), this may not be considered a sign of an outbreak yet because most so far reported, if not all, are infections obtained from outside the country and not transmitted to other humans within. Should that internal transmission happen, an outbreak may be impending.
This week closed on June 6 with an increase of new cases by 2,667 bringing worldwide total to 21,940, or 123 percent in only 13 days (almost 1% jump in new cases daily). Eight more deaths are reported bringing total deaths to 125, or 58.2 percent. Three more countries joined the list--Barbados, Lebanon, and Luxemborg. Philippine figure went up to 33 cases, or 2.5% increase every day.
This week on June 8 opened with an increase of new cases by 3,348 or a world total of 25,288, an increase of 157.25 percent (or more than double) in merely 20 days. This brings the average increase to 7.86 daily. Six more deaths are reported since last week. Swine flu has spread to four more countries--Cayman Islands (Ukot), Dominica, Trinidad & Tobago, and United Arab Emirates. An Associated Press report indicated an increase of Philippine cases to 54, up by 21 cases (or 63.6 percent) since last week.
As of June 12, or 24 days since Breakthroughs Today monitor WHO listed cases, confirmed swine flue cases world has already tripled (200% increase) with deaths thankfully contained at 83.54 percent increase (have not doubled yet). It has added, in the last four days, one more country in the list--Ukraine. The Philippines reached 92 confirmed.
When the week opened on June 15, worldwide confirmed cases continued to go up at 265.49 percent in 27 days (9.8% average daily increase). Death tolls stood at 106.3 percent (3.9% daily average). Two more countries joined the fray--Morocco (1 case) and West Bank-Gaza Strip (2 cases). In the Philippines, as of June 6, DOH announced total confirmed cases at 247 without death thanks to an effective response system.
As of June 24, 36 days since Breakthroughs Today started monitoring H1N1 reports, worldwide cases have reached 55,867 confirmed cases, an increase of more than four times (468 percent) since we started monitoring on May19. Deaths increased almost five times (495 percent) to 238. Countries affected rose to 102, an increase of 155 percent. This means that of the 195 countries around the world, 52 percent is already hit by swine flu pandemic. New countries included in the WHO list include Algeria, Antigua and Barbuda, Bangladesh, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Cap Verde, Cote d'Ivoire, Ethiopia, Fiji, Jordan, Laos, Latvia, Montenegro, Oman, Papua New Guinea, Qatar, Samoa, Slovenia, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tunisia, Vanuatu, and Yemen.
In the Philippines, 33 days from its first H1N1 case, confirmed cases rose to 604, an average of more than 18 cases daily. One fatality recorded on June 22, exactly one month after its first confirmed case.
Encouragement
If you are not used to healthy habits--enough sleep, healthy and balanced food, less stress--this would be the right time to do so until this problem gets under control. Also avoid crowded places such as malls and crowded commercial establishments, church, and schools as the virus can be transmitted through the air.
Comments
Post a Comment